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Stock Talk - Alex Morozov, Morningstar

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Wed, 16 May 2012|

Morningstar's Alex Morozov discusses a few stocks.

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Tags:

  1. Boston Red Sox3:05
  2. innovation curve3:29
  3. Morningstar5:36
  4. sizable investment3:45
  5. cash flow5:13
  6. device companies0:23
  7. revenue model2:48
  8. attractive growth3:59
  9. medical device maker0:50

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Automatically Generated Transcript (may not be 100% accurate)

Dow's up about 35 points and opened her it's fifteen minutes we do have some economic data it releases that we're giving you momentarily. Right now our guest is Alex -- -- off from morning star Alex good morning and welcome to the show. Good morning. 88 was wanted to talk to you about your stock picks today in both ten day figure both medical device companies Thermo Fisher is that the first one. That is correct actually both of those companies have some Massachusetts. Yeah I do with their official is headquartered in your stated there and a comedian. Does have its name on on a Green monster. That's right I was there the other day and I saw -- need EC committee in around a lot below. Let's talk about Thermo Fisher first it's a 52 dollar stock the symbols TMO. What is it about this medical device maker that you like. The best thing about Thermo Fisher as it's really the one stop shop for anything. Research related. So any time your research lab -- requires that our basic consumables -- More sophisticated equipment or even just steps from shelving units -- Fisher can provide that. So really you don't need to go pure laboratory in -- running very. Very expensive very time consuming research you don't really need to go anywhere else but from a centrist catalog because we've got everything pretty -- Now do they have any great products that are higher margin products it regularly by -- my concern about these companies is. You might by the stock in the new find out that they've got a -- Hip replacement it's coming off patent or the you know they're gonna be exposed to big downside. No and that's actually what why I've really -- our official if you look at their product mix. Consumables. Account for about almost half of the half the total revenue. Which means that the more expensive more sophisticated instruments only account for about 40% of their revenue. Analysts say more sophisticated instruments were not talking about. Multi million dollar instruments most of their animals -- -- platforms really fallen to this couple thousand dollars of -- at that range. Company has about 300000 closest -- so it's it's really not exposed to in particular what products. Why is it down thirteen dollars for its 52 week high. Well if you look at what happened last year right around August time that would hurt a lot of debate about. Potential sizable cuts to its a lot of government budget budgets and and I -- budget. And that they're efficient this is a little exposed -- government and academic spent in about quarter of their total revenue comes from. Academic and government institutions working on now on research projects. So that's what you did see out of efficient deaconess sizable. Armed that said I think stated that. A lot of investors really overestimated the impact on the company's -- current revenue model. Our overall academic and government is going to be probably down slightly this year but you look at all the other and markets they're gonna be more enough and knocked off that weakness in the form by an academic business. All right Alex your next check of Vivian and use as you mentioned their big sponsor of the Boston Red Sox. This is 55 dollar stock in its very hot close to a 52 week high what's the difference between two video comedian and Thermo Fisher. Look at video and if you're not relive the moment with a history of committee in its -- the -- not healthcare unit of Tyco and so what happened under Tyco the company was severely under invested in and as a result of really -- behind innovation curve. A lot of its competitors just past that and a lot of it's a product areas. So ever since the spin off from -- that happened about five years ago committing and spoke with some really has been on improving the product portfolio particularly this device business. For the company to the amount sizable investment in. More importantly its pipeline is as good as it's ever been as a result you look at that are you looking at the company that probably has the most attractive growth profile. Among all met -- But tech companies. In addition the company still has this legacy pharmaceutical business and it's -- to spin it out early and 2013. So I wanna get shares in the new it occupied by comedian does that mean I'm gonna get shares in the pharma company now. Get a choice which one you want it and I think a lot of folks who probably gonna go with a device business because that is a much more attractive business. But even the farm businesses not as bad as this it has has been in the past still. Something tells me that wants the farm businesses don't install. It will probably experiences the more listed as the committee of -- business the company will be able to allocated to our deep budget a little bit more. In a targeted way. And as a result will not be -- capital that is right now. Any upside left in the stock it's at 55 or 5493. As what I see trading at right now. -- upside my fair value estimate that and that's that's some parts analysis included. It's 76 dollars so I think there's still plenty of upside. And meanwhile the company does the above one point 6% dividend -- old. It's got 77%. Freaked some percent cash flow -- so overall it -- Well you can still wait for a form of business -- out it really paid you to wait. Are you -- 75 dollar price target on competing with your price target on Thermo Fisher. I don't official fair value is seven dollars and on Canadian correction that's 76 bill. 76 -- Alex thank you very much for your time appreciate your research. That's Alex -- is not joining us today from Morningstar his two stock picks. Where Thermo Fisher TM -- is a symbol for Thermo Fisher. And his price target on that is seventy dollars a share. The -- in the symbol COB currently trading at 5493. Now has a price target on the Vivian. Of 76 dollars a share.