Dave Paleologos
Wed, 3 Sep 2008|
Day Three of the RNC and Finneran's Forum gets the latest poll numbers from the Suffolk University pollster.
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Automatically Generated Transcript (may not be 100% accurate)
He was -- to get back to the the political events of the season. The Republican national convention tonight is an important night -- speaks to the nation. Not just to an adoring audience of ten at 12000 issued it out and Dayton Ohio last week when John McCain introduced her. As his selection for the vice president shall -- Host slot. But this is her moment her opportunity to -- to introduce yourself in a meaningful way to hopefully. From her perspective certainly connect to and width. The American people Rudy Giuliani will speak tonight I continued to. Suspect that Mitt Romney is going to be front center at some point either tonight or tomorrow they lot you know having lost the day. These speaking schedule is really did the shuffling the deck. In have to be ready willing and able to step and I got a light Romney had some time there I can't believe it -- that -- these two important things -- you know it says the kind of energetic sari -- campaigning that will be -- possible of the you know what it's it's -- it's it was nine weeks the election is nine weeks from yesterday. So you know 62 days left some people will be voted Wendy within the next forty days because of absentee -- In other states so this is coming to -- as Giuliani again tonight -- for sure it must. Must viewing and it's huge numbers in last night and I will with it would continue to try to connect to a state senator Bob Bob -- but last night Fred Thompson speaking and then of course Joe Lieberman speaking. George Bush. By by satellite. And not not physically present privacy because it was monitoring hurricane Gustav and other things and I think politically from serie -- you know we and he -- with President Bush here -- cut -- who is I think a good cut from President Bush about his assessment of John McCain.
as an Independent man who thanks for himself. He's not afraid to tell you when he disagrees. Believe me I know. A criminal matter what the issue a good little resign and is honest. And speaks straight from the heart.
Good good little reminded via that the bush is acknowledging. You know some of the that the test the perhaps even acidic exchanges at a record between him and Senator McCain and McCain calling him and Cheney and Rumsfeld -- on top that he called on the topic but he called the -- policy is a disaster the strategy is -- you leading -- to defeat not a victory and I would say that was a brave and lonely political play out.
I think tourism Lieberman who used that basically is a reason not to vote for Obama Obama is a predictable ending he does everything a certain way he'd never crosses over McCain. Has all these people off in his own party has crossed over to do part partisan work that's changed that matters and I think that -- kept coming up in one way or another throughout SP.
Just and we'll get to all the sound obvious that we got plenty to share with you love to talk to you about it it's excellent seven. 26668. Succeeded to kick -- that conversation a gentleman has been kind enough to join us. Each and every morning since the democratic conventions -- Monday of last week. Dave paley logos the preeminent -- Suffolk University channel seven and hundreds of others individuals and organizations and does such a great job Dave -- logos welcome back to -- forum.
And it's great to be here this morning landing.
Good morning Dave you know teeters that we should start calling you Dave Foley a Lotus. Just this because you're so good at. Eight Dave what's what you sense of things out -- you know -- Whole. Opportunity right now for any bounced who have settled in on Biden and Obama. Republicans you know kind of drifting around a little bit while ghost was. Hurtling toward the coast but now that seems to have come and gone and they had their first real night last night. -- any news to report anything interesting on on -- Biden Iraq all around -- McCain himself.
Well what measured now the full impact of these democratic convention in terms it'll bounce and that's looking at. From the last eight tracking polls nationally. In the and at the average of the polls shows a -- four point 4%. For the Democrats not the average is about 6%. Some haven't hire some have a lower some polls have like Gallup have Obama hitting 50%. Most avid in the mid high forties. And I would expect. -- Russell because. You know I think the introduction. Of our tail and of course the armaments from from Giuliani and McCain coming forward will have -- muted. Snapped back in terms of the polling numbers I don't think it will.
I think he'd be astounding of John McCain can pull off a speech to the American public on Tuesday night. That is the that is the political equivalent of what Barack Obama did last Tuesday at -- Barack Obama's speech resplendent. You know I've got some gripes with the specifics of some pretty substantial grants but it -- of the speech the connectivity the message the vision. Really the presents the stage presence I think it was all presidential with a capital --
Absolutely. You know and took a detriment of the Democratic Party the announcement of Sara Taylor really muted what should have been a three day expansion of the coverage of that beach and the wrap up of the and that's and so on it. The polling numbers probably should've gone higher. But now we're basically back and -- most single digit range -- probably by the end of this convention.
So what are the odds the the Democrats are planning something similar to suck the air out of the remain after the currency -- And ensure that they don't want it they don't act like babies but. You know it was us it was an incredibly. Effective. Very interesting completely unpredictable strategy to make such an amaze scenes and strange I think announcement about surveillance. I'm and I'm sure it was designed. To have the effect on -- numbers but. Does that really make a difference in the long run like it -- I think you told us a week or two maybe it was two weeks ago. That these bumps her a bit artificial anyway so it was really worst that I guess is the question.
Degree of fluidity as well -- both the past and work side the respective parties in the 80% of the electorate the decided. We -- from our analysis so looking at only seven states that really matter at this. Massachusetts is not one you know we're quite confident we we feel that I'm -- both camps are confident. That Massachusetts will not vote Republicans and it will vote for Obama so really the focus of multiple will be on the battlegrounds.
And got to ask your question David very very wise man here in Boston yesterday said to me and he's a Democrat by inclination by registration by habit. He said he thinks a powerful like -- for the Republicans to be making. Is a reminder of the need for checks and balances that it looks as if congress were led 1015 maybe twenty seats. Democratic seats that is similar gains in the Senate perhaps even getting to the magic number of sixty democratic senators. And under that scenario. -- an argument by the Republicans about the absolute imperative for checks and balances might become. A winning it's hardly an inspirational. Theme of but it is -- practical. Argument I'm wondering if you see any sense of that in the polling that you are doing.
You know I think that's the dynamic and it's funny that it comes from a Massachusetts Democrat I think that's a dynamic that we really -- in the -- announced -- in Massachusetts beginning in 1990 when bill weld. One and this string of Republican governors. Until recently yup I'm not sure that it measured. Issue at this point the economy the Iraq War. Ability. Of the candidates to. Project leadership. I think -- that. But again in in states like New Hampshire which is somewhat exposed to Massachusetts media. It may have an impact in those or you know electoral votes in the election may matter.
did why is -- any major Republican voice spinning that seems that you know do you want. It do you want the corner office to be in the same camp as the entire congress especially if it gets up to sixty. You know in the sense that you you really have almost no veto authority I don't even understand actually all the numbers work went by I I -- and is somebody from Massachusetts. The theme you don't want the entire state being controlled by one ideology. We've had to live with that. Idea that argument that sense of things for a long time how is that not being -- not being played by the Republicans.
Because of that and all of -- well they short incident. If there are so many other issues that do polls than many circumstances where. Are Republicans. President Mitt and -- and in congress and Democrat. Are positive that negative and so you know if that. Urgency issue certainly within you know. Swing voters likely voters or Independent the most battleground states but I'm sure it would.
Nazi -- these -- David hey -- and -- you have been greatly tab we appreciate this each and every morning. -- trailer Lagos will continue to reach out -- opera prediction as we sign off with David. It here is and he is this actually -- the situation here's the prediction you know what you gonna hear tonight from Sarah -- last one of the things that because Dave pillows just mentioned. Issues that whole well for the Republicans up for the Democrats Serra -- tonight my opinion. Will heavily emphasized. Offshore drilling the oil and gas reserves not -- of Alaska but on the continental shelves of this country and that it's a huge mistake and it's a democratic policy to keep those off limits and American people -- even with the price of oil coming down as we talked about was -- are a little while ago. American people I think very very comfortable with the notion of going after our own fossil fuel as opposed to becoming even more dependent on fossil fuels IE oil from the rest of the rest of world I think you can count on that one certainly tonight in that in -- speech. And -- you know the last -- speeches were you know -- interesting ones we you know bush bush -- with Hillary she -- the sound of pushed hard about how McCain is Independent if he disagrees with the election no that can't stop and the crowd got a little bit of a a -- about that I think Joe Lieberman was really that the man of the hour in terms of last night Fred Thompson -- for -- not right -- I don't know. I think Lieberman has an awful lot of weights because he has. Character and ability to say I'm not just partisan. Landing I actually Kara this country beyond party lines I think that's very refreshing idea here. Here's -- talked about and -- So respected Lieberman I think action speaks to a vote of such as you believe when you because you have very you've been very careful here on the show and consistent. Hey look. From idea -- woman but American just go vote for any woman and I love the idea of an African American becoming president but I want to see credentials just beyond that you know be on the color of one's skin. People feel that -- and and and so Lieberman who comes from the other side of the island says hey this thing I was the -- I was the vice presidential nominee for the Democrats eight. Years ago and look at me and I'm looking at and assessing this as an American and then not as a Republican out as a Democrat but as an American and McCain -- the -- that's -- that's powerful stuff he's not the most powerful or repressive or --
No -- nobody ever expects him to bay is still he has this kind of quiet. Almost father of the way of how to paint dry at a home if you painting a room kind of help is on the island -- comes across as almost an academic committee and so. In speaks plain English so if you listen to him -- not -- for our you know fireworks. And you respect him it's easy to feel persuaded without screaming and yelling he doesn't have to screaming now.
It has an avuncular presence doesn't and it's a failure intelligent uncle at the thanksgiving table. And you want to listen to him because just he's exactly that he's the intelligent -- trust -- out of every day so when you get the opportunity you really want to stay there an extra -- until -- you do yeah Aristide at.
Thank you for that intro them. The intelligent presence at the table listed among and I just imagine what you -- about possibly talking about is an -- avuncular rich -- wants the floor yes yeah. On the on the program address that at the part why don't collect at 2 okay listen. -- It's -- we'll talk about Marshall Woodrow yet energy conservation article four with this. That was another woman recently who gave a speech like that I think she may steal from this particular person.
Iraq wants to focus on new technologies that -- And McCain wants offered him. -- She is limited option -- hoped Harris fire all parents would never been the same sentence -- hybrid electric -- That way the offshore drilling areas and in the technologies kicked him.
I had how much longer do we have to put up with the scraps direct blow that out of the water on lose that from the archive -- you have to do it when it's relevant to -- always tells me talk radio is timely that's no longer time and -- that is at that that is just ridiculous that -- This is what they think get pregnant at age seventeen that's what happens when you get a close to the controls. But you know the Lieberman won his -- is interest in for lotteries and and I like we don't size and we have not talked about -- hottest talk about the sexes nature of some of the attacks. And I think we've been trying to be self critical in that regard as well which is really important about Russia may not going to get a predictable party line on this program going to get honest even self criticism and I liked its its reasons I like and keep coming back. But John had by at least 54 reasonable -- I cannot get past couple pop up efforts. John Edwards it would not talk about it a pregnant teen were talking about a married man with a wife was dying. Poppins on silly stupid painting California -- costing her become pregnant birthing is in his secret way and yeah. And he got us talk about morality. Just comparing his behavior in terms of morality. And -- daughters issues. Why did you and Edwards gets its past or is it different moment in time but still we really let him take a pass and I understand that that kind of partisan politics drives me crazy it's related to what our -- earlier. About the way the mainstream media is so left that they counts. Very hypocritical and that just discussed -- but people need to talk about that title because once they're appealing gets judged. For all different substantive reasons. That that the ability to appreciate whether she's also in the separately Hillary Egypt. The kind of passive I'm not even paying attention type of sexism I think we have a responsibility to really look harder look more closely. At what could be an invisible form of prejudice against her happy to wait to say which -- substantive point in this and what are your -- there -- what you experience. I think it's really hard to fight sex is that we're not even talking I I.
Cringe when I see how literally. You invasive and aggressive the press -- but I think some of that invasive does and some of that aggression I'm not excusing it. But some of it is because -- Pailin is such an unknown there is such. A blank slate there. You know mayor of a small -- about the critical more executive experience and upset clearly I'll say it again that all the other three candidates combined. You take but you take McCain you take by new take up Iraq and a theory executive experience doesn't begin to amount terrorism that -- qualified and let me try to clear -- that that's appease the positives to small town mayor in Alaska answer it's remote I hope we don't sound condescending it's certainly not my intention to I have the greatest reverence and respect for. The rest of America I don't Massachusetts has a lot to opera I know the rest of the nation has an abundance to offers well and said the that we often lack pack.
Common stand now and I and they don't and it has an army generals with comments an -- so easy to joke about the people who -- and it's a million miles away and -- escaping from where to go hide there and it really is desolate place. There's an awful lot of violence crime and alcoholism there it's weird is it doesn't a lot of daylight most the time. It's a weird place you know what a lot of people in this country think it's weird.
I -- by the way I'm thinking of the first outpost for your religion that religion you tell me about where it's Elton John music lots of wind -- fishing a post -- for that is that the first outpost Beatrice missionary assignment should be to Alaska you know popular that would be a.
Good morning keep a look at well it's a great job do you. You know quick point don't get a executive experience crap because George W. Bush and executive experience out. Things are.
I know that it's no guarantee I agree -- actually not guarantee but it also helps it is relevant I think the most important thing in my opinion job on it you want somebody whose intelligence. And -- and intelligent excuse me in curious you have to be. Curious I found it interesting that Bill Clinton referenced that in his remarks last week he talked about the necessity for curiosity and president figuring out how the world works what moves people historically. What might move them. In the future it's a huge thing and I think it's George Bush's biggest. -- I don't think he's apps and of -- yet any curiosity about the world.
He's not stupid it's intellectually lazy.
Well probably to an -- that he's not stupid go ahead John.
Which I cannot get out of my mind and I don't know what or what it was some peaks they go to bed and that -- was pictured. -- What you're paying job but they are -- already. Expressed all of a lovely Bristol was holding the baby why. In order to defeat every one there -- as Egypt already with deception. Now wasn't her idea what -- Hitler's idea what this summer in the -- advisory committee's idea but why the discussion.
Let me say this god let me say this I agree with him well response is I don't keep provokes me on on something that I've been saying and I haven't yet it chances him as pro. I think it was absolutely. Land that her pregnancy would be covered it was intentional perhaps politically motivated perhaps privately motivated perhaps both. But here's what I think I guess I'll -- main coverage physical yelled at the --
John -- was holding the case.
Definitely designed to cover but here's what I think you can tell me if you agree -- I think the rumors about how. Surveillance daughter Bristol may have actually burst that their new baby has dancing and I think those were intentionally created by the Republican Party. To give them a legitimate reason to announce this pregnancy. Rather than having to announce a polish immigrants because it would really count on to be able came proud to know what you stop those rumors were ridiculous and they gave them a perfect platform for making an announcement about the pregnancy that make people say well not so bad. Not so bad and now they have a reason for -- in the pregnancy otherwise it would have been -- private family matter but those damn blockers made us have to reveal it it's at its happily lease.
As plausible. Then a seventeen year old daughter is holding her infant -- while the father of the tallest of the biggest of the bunch is at the back of the family gathering for the photo -- which it is I agree it's a photo -- it's always about a photo -- in -- but who's holding the baby who's not let's not get so -- conspiratorial. Its territorial it's obvious. -- it was to Iraq just just. Did you use the language conception of the arms and legs that's not an arrow down on debating John used the word deception is is as this is -- actively plan. Deception of the American.
My high eight private embarrassing thing doesn't have to be a political deception it -- been perceived as a private matter if Sarah woods knows anything about politics it's that they -- no secrets.
Nothing is nobody there well timed to disclosures of scantily secrets aren't there they can't be with -- a short break we'll be back in a moment and I am succeeding WRKO.

