Dave Paleologos

Let's go to Dave -- logos he knows what's going on he's all world's political hate Dave good morning to area. Good morning good morning Martin. Davis where we it is gorgeous morning oh god where are well all of these events are just. All right I went to a couple cook out over this weekend in this whole political discussion in this tale of the summit nobody at all but it. It's incredible well except and despite the thought.

I am so angry at some of my liberal friends not not all of small percentage are saying. --

What kind of what was so what are you seeing and hearing professionally. Out the will go back to the cook outs and a minute David but is the -- that would this I would've been operating under an assumption based on history. That the democratic nominee coming out of the democratic convention. Read all the the pomp and circumstance of the Republican convention would've had a -- to several points may be even double digits. The polls that have been seeing and hearing you make reference to seem to say that doesn't exist.

Well historically the double digit leads are really something of the way past them if you go back in statistically if you look at the last five. Democratic conventions and Republican convention there was only one in ten. That was a double digit lead and -- really had nothing to do would be. Party that was when Bill Clinton jumped 32 points and insurance when -- pro folded his campaign. You know when he was that he was getting quite percent of the national a lot of the times so. So I think a single digit amounts is about right. I think expectations. Were higher because Obama did so well I mean there was really. No issue in the democratic convention commuter -- like a well oiled machine the speech was wonderful. But it seems like. From the data that we're looking. Eight points was the max and now it seems to becoming backed down.

Yeah and tonight the Republicans will go with Thompson and Lieberman that seems to me particularly at least from my perspective David. The Lieberman speech tonight we'll probably generate. Some fairly broad interest will not.

Yeah I think both address apartment demographic. That is. Older. Undecided voters I mean we're not going to get to ailment so tomorrow night obviously so. You know Lieberman has the potential of getting some crossover -- and has -- star power but I mean I think Lieberman as the person. That people will be looking to see if there it is signals in his speech. About. You know it is activities and some keywords that people. Going well.

But didn't want to say if you had to lift the top three reasons pretend. -- consultant to. The GOP and there are going through these. Vice presidential. Possibilities. One of the top three reasons why they'd say everybody else's mind that syrupy violence the best.

Well I think you have to look at it at least I'd group demographically. I mean the highest undecided among. What the democratic voters it's it's women thirty -- white women 35 to -- page. That's the group that is that they have the highest undecided. And probably more -- the ball if you're looking at this from the Republicans. OSHA does bring a lot to the table I think the event. The of that of Friday's announcement. Unfortunately for the Democrats kind of stopped they the the.

Is instead -- and it and it was a great speaker really truly -- been discussed all week -- there's. First out of the box Friday morning everything shifted. So. I think in terms of big you know thinking outside the -- McCain's probably going to try to make the case that. You know. He he's looking at issues differently he's willing to take risks and you know with -- that are returned even though you know it may not work doubted.

White women do you carry -- user has -- hosts highest percentage of undecided according to to David in tip. -- number of supporters of Hillary Clinton. Yes -- now in our armed I'm curious David if underneath that dead demographic analysis. The era reasons beyond Hillary Clinton -- it any particular reasons why white women 35 to fifty hesitant. About a guy like Barack Obama beautiful wife Michelle two gorgeous kids. Wonderful as you say stirring stirring speech in fairly Staley smooth convention. Oh what what's. Why they hold them back when they went before.

It may breakdowns or regions because you know white women 35 to fifty and New Hampshire might be markedly different from from. The same demographic in Colorado. But it and it and ultimately they may vote -- Obama. It's just a you know you know you really need to pursue all of the categories even outside of the democratic I would never talked about independence. Where that undecided gets really you know elevated so that point for point -- spending resources it I'm in the right place.

So -- the end of this week I'm guessing David that you and -- your fellow pollsters are going to have. For information then we're beginning the week where it's -- shortly because of the holiday. But by Friday I'm guessing you could crunch some numbers that we'll show. The immediate bounce or no bounce for both. Iraq. And his truncated victory on for 88 that was overshadowed by the choice of Pailin and but what's going on down in Louisiana I am I imagine yes.

It truly add and and you know I think you'll see it at low low single digits I don't think -- total snapped back to visually looking at. An accumulation of three days of convention. Yeah. You know persons or days but every day. That the -- and talking about bush and Cheney is a way and four other mom's side Obama is focused in the years. -- talking about what he needs talk about letting this. This Taylor an issue. You know probe by the board let depressed through their work he's not getting involved that it has put the word out. That -- anybody else affiliate with a party certainty and that's the right thing to there'll.

Nice coverage last night -- it didn't you.

I bet I'd I think he won a lot of points with people. I -- when no matter what side of the -- they were on and that's the place that he needs to be but the truth of the matter is we've got two more storms growing. You know in the -- in the in the Caribbean. And basically you know it to the discussion of anything but bush and Cheney is that is and that positive for the Republicans -- to separate it.

Unless unless of course these storms 39 people to. Much of the disaster of the debacle that was FEMA and the federal response to Katrina. I mean I was waiting for that yesterday and it was just really aside Barrett really wasn't --

Patrick jumped on that a little bit when he when he gave his keynote speech at the democratic convention which -- I think we're very -- not to my -- I I agree I -- New England cable news -- grin on I believe violence in it yet but MSNBC CN NC -- also had a C -- and Andy -- and binds us and had a but everybody else had the talking -- this -- I think well -- I just I would like to have seen our governor. Get a little bit next aggression that's what they carried Barack Obama four years ago is that it doesn't for you know he was. He was certainly not Islam around as our governor he I I agree with insanity argument time just sometimes that's where the ball bounces heyday -- you have been great with the tab will continue to reach -- appreciate the in that --