Major Garrett
Thu, 3 Jan 2008|
The Fox News Channel correspondent and Finneran's Forum contributor is in Iowa the day of the caucuses and gives a ground's eye view on what to expect.
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Automatically Generated Transcript (may not be 100% accurate)
You are Kerio major the -- about -- rights law boy wonder quick. To the fox. To the fox mobile from the fox mobile indeed the one and only major Garrett Fox News correspondent other grounded -- Iowa. May -- this is a moment we have been waiting for that you and I've been talking about for weeks. Give us the out to the minute broadcast from the cornfields of Iowa who looks good in -- upon whom does the trip and come down tonight. Dear boy wonder pop op -- thank you very they -- very very budget that meant. You like -- we knew he would I think that'd sure about the fox mobile.
Sector that's about what we've come up with so far apart are a really good that's really get here's the deal. It's going to be closed tonight that's obviously I would tell -- this -- sultry candidates yesterday. Hillary Clinton Barack Obama John Edwards public three Edwards had -- crowd but he also had a free concerts you have to discount that. Barack Obama has had huge crowd in the last two or three days I was you're 2000 or the best indicator of what was happening on the ground at what would happen on caucus night. With crowds John Kerry had done Howard dean didn't and what happened all the respect in 2004 was we kept saying well. He has this great organization all these people came and all the eniac all the perfect storm there's no way that these crowd. Really -- the true story because he's got this phenomenal -- and patient well. It was telling us something we just -- smart enough to see it. So I know good deal about the Obama organization I know are confident they are all the work they've done here preparing themselves for caucus I. And that crowd are very large and very enthusiastic that tells me when you combine the two together if someone has. The up barrel on momentum going into this. It's Barack Obama second point I want to make Hillary Clinton also has its very stout ground organization here. But I know what she's doing in New Hampshire she's pouring more resources in New Hampshire has been in the last 48 hours what does that -- meet the supply will keep up. That tells me that she's not as confident. About Iowa as she once was and that she needs to shore up everything. She can in New Hampshire. And that's going to be a tough thing to do it and Barack Obama with -- because Obama is already well positioned in get captured about it it yet to gain. -- forty points overnight he just set to gain by evident some polls. Investigate anything so we -- in or a very tight contest. Between us do it but John Edwards thread the needle here and win it. He's legitimate contender until he loses which may be New Hampshire.
Quick question foyer then you know Dennis Kucinich show whose -- I would characterized as you know cults believe his Connecticut -- the cult beat transfer and I saw that Kucinich 48 hours ago were roughly may just said to his supporters if he cannot be with me are we're not going to get over the 50% -- I suggest I recommend. Obama is that it transferable op Powell that he has and if so doesn't that give Iraq 23 maybe four crucial points.
It may affect as many or it might give him one and a half or Q but let's be honest about that they could be decided by -- easily maybe by less than one separated wanted to so anything you can get. At the margin it's helpful I think. Consider just support it -- in numbers might be less important as it is in philosophy because. It's essential point he made it. Obama was against the war I was against the war Clinton Edwards were both or if if you're trying to. Port of philosophical halo around Obama's head. The closing hours look better one in Iowa with diabetes and was against the war and a reminder of that. So in that respect I think that's as much help as numbers. Because others who walked in the -- sides were not dedicate exhibit voters they also want to register in the party. Strong anti war statement and there. Candidate whether -- or reject it or -- doesn't meet the viability threshold in May do you know what to make sure the it to what message gets across the total bomb.
Thus far with talked about the Big Three Hillary and Iraq and John Edwards does the trip and come down tonight on Joe Biden Chris Dodd -- Bill Richardson.
Not immediately but quickly enough it together just gonna be so hard for them. Two compete without -- any strong showing here what they're not going to get the Democrats love their healed but they love three of the more than the others. At a three -- poster Edwards Clinton and Obama and Biden Richardson and especially died. Are going to have to say no we give it ago we tried our best but it just didn't work out. And at some point I would say they'll write it through New Hampshire this support accord between now and five days from now on New Hampshire I think accurate ex Yugoslavia was going to shrink dramatically.
John Edwards is so white hot rhetoric conduct kind of what I called class warfare cod. In the last a couple of times with talked you've mentioned that Edwards based upon his run for years ago the maintenance of an organization. And a little bit of a history and I were of going for that up populist economic message might be the comfortable second choice although a lot of folks. Does that dynamic today still holds major -- have did then -- changing ER opinion. In terms of candidate momentum.
I think Edward has very shrewdly put himself in the position. To be very competitive at the second choice even though he voted for the war why because elect Hillary Clinton it makes it very plain. That was a mistake a mistake you regrets that mistake you wish you'd ever had made Hillary Clinton hasn't done that aren't so heat to a certain degree neutralizes that as a nation. Also as things have stabilized in Iraq and talk about this war. The hunger among Democrats or intensity on core domestic issues has increased. As that hunger has increased Edwards has begun to get back into the game. I would classify the the -- clinically. Edwards supporter as the set up Democrats because look all or debate -- a major Democrats offer -- at the same thing push for universal health care higher taxes on the wealthy different trade deals emphasis on reduce global warming. All the stuff is pretty much -- so what -- the fundamental difference that would offer. He says I'm not experienced like Hillary -- not all about two BI hope like Obama I am a Puget I'm a fighter because these folks. Evans who you in the middle class for a long time. You're not someone's going to punch them and about. They're going to -- destroyed but the better Democrats that it actually has become a message of relevant because they feel squeezed. And based -- Edward more than Clinton or Obama are released the prospect of squeezing back. And I think that is -- which is clawed back into the straight.
Fabulous point you know when you when you consider all the families going through economic uncertainty what they're paying at the gas pump what they're paying to heat the home. The uncertainty in the incredible cost around health -- still lots of reasons for people that lots and lots of anxiety Althea tell me which way major the independence the -- enrolled voters in Iowa. Do you sense that they -- going to break of more toward the democratic side than the Republican. Side is it just more excitement for the independence among these these Big Three.
You -- in in New Hampshire and for your audience I'm declared or independence are always of fascinating component of any political race. Less so here in Ireland you know historically independents have made less made up what 20% of the turnout on caucus night within the democratic. Process now earlier this week Barack Obama had a poll that was very helpful and setting the sort of psychological own. A moment I'm going to campaign the one register or at about seven point. The Clinton Edwards campaign -- just viable complain about that polls saying that it assumed. Independent and Republican turnout of the democratic caucus -- 45%. Completely out of touch. With the store so sure that. Well but but but but the -- registered as an incredibly experienced newspaper they didn't pick that number out of her. People leave and there -- certain evidence to suggest that Obama has genuinely. Begun to redraw the map here and that there are people excited about this raise. People excited about his candidacy that you would have never assume we're excited before and -- Clinton camp capable Altman look if he can all. Anywhere over 20% of independents into the straight and be anywhere close to 40% he deserved to win it got -- he can be our nominee because it crush rebel republic it. They still believe that an -- process. That is so rooted in the Democratic Party its rules and regulations it's minutia you gonna get that many independent but these guys now. It -- it will win an alliance for.
Well this is going to be -- stuff so major the stuff you and I focus on without fanaticism almost an obsession. It's right he are on the main stage out the -- we're going to see you up in Manchester next week special thanks to major Garrett -- Fox News correspondent with whom we communicate each and every week Iran for parents farm

